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CHICAGO

BLACKHAWKSCHI

27-34-14  |  Road

1
FINAL
Thu, Apr 2 • 9:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
View Odds Details →

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

38-28-9  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Spencer Knight
GOALTENDER

Spencer Knight

#30 | Goaltender
@
Tristan Jarry
GOALTENDER

Tristan Jarry

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Spencer Knight None-None 1.12 0.970 --
Tristan Jarry None-None 1.01 0.944 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.12 GAA Ldr 1.01
0.970 Ldr Save % 0.944
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLACKHAWKS
100%
📊
OILERS
0%
BLACKHAWKS --
OILERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Edmonton)
BlackhawksCHI (-3.5) 0 OilersEDM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blackhawks Cover

2.3%

Oilers Cover

97.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

CHI By 1 goal

0.9%

CHI By 2-3 goals

0.3%

EDM By 1 goal

6.6%

EDM By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
CHICAGO
5
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
2
CHICAGO
5
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oilers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oilers (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Oilers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 2, 2026 CHI @ EDM 1 - 3
Jan 12, 2026 EDM @ CHI 4 - 1
Nov 1, 2025 CHI @ EDM 2 - 3
Feb 5, 2025 EDM @ CHI 4 - 3
Jan 11, 2025 EDM @ CHI 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +43.8% more
Edmonton: 30.5 vs Chicago: 21.2
Hits (L5) +23.5% more
Edmonton: 19.6 vs Chicago: 15.9
Power Play % (L5) +18.9%
Edmonton: 24.7% vs Chicago: 5.8%
Faceoff % (L5) +14.3%
Edmonton: 57.4% vs Chicago: 43.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 1.0 1
EDM Score 5.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
16%MONEY84%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
76%MONEY24%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
CHI
EDM
CHI
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
ATS
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
TTL
25% 1-3
33% 1-2-1
25% 1-3
67% 2-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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