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WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

32-30-12  |  Road

0
FINAL
Thu, Apr 2 • 8:00 PM ET
American Airlines Center
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

STARSDAL

44-19-12  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Connor Hellebuyck
GOALTENDER

Connor Hellebuyck

#37 | Goaltender
@
Jake Oettinger
GOALTENDER

Jake Oettinger

#29 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Connor Hellebuyck None-None 3.14 0.857 --
Jake Oettinger None-None 0.00 1.000 1
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.14 GAA Ldr 0.00
0.857 Save % Ldr 1.000
-- SO Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
100%
📊
STARS
0%
JETS --
STARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Dallas)
JetsWPG (-3.5) 0 StarsDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jets Cover

15.9%

Stars Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

WPG By 1 goal

6.6%

WPG By 2-3 goals

3.7%

DAL By 1 goal

17.5%

DAL By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
WINNIPEG
3
DALLAS
Simulated Score
1
WINNIPEG
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Stars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Stars Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Stars (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Stars (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 2, 2026 WPG @ DAL 0 - 3
Feb 2, 2026 WPG @ DAL 3 - 4
Dec 9, 2025 DAL @ WPG 4 - 3
Oct 9, 2025 DAL @ WPG 5 - 4
May 17, 2025 WPG @ DAL 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +79.8% more
Dallas: 29.9 vs Winnipeg: 16.6
Hits (L5) +23.2% more
Winnipeg: 25.4 vs Dallas: 19.5
Faceoff % (L5) +15.8%
Winnipeg: 65.1% vs Dallas: 49.3%
Takeaways (L5) +9.8% more
Winnipeg: 5.0 vs Dallas: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WPG Score 1.0 0
DAL Score 3.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
41%MONEY59%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
74%MONEY26%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
WPG
DAL
WPG
ML
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
TTL
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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