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WASHINGTON

CAPITALSWSH

38-28-9  |  Road

3
FINAL
Thu, Apr 2 • 7:30 PM ET
Prudential Center
View Odds Details →

NEW JERSEY

DEVILSNJ

38-34-2  |  Home

7
Goaltending
Logan Thompson
GOALTENDER

Logan Thompson

#48 | Goaltender
@
Jake Allen
GOALTENDER

Jake Allen

#34 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Logan Thompson None-None 6.19 0.793 --
Jake Allen None-None 3.00 0.906 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
6.19 GAA Ldr 3.00
0.793 Save % Ldr 0.906
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
0%
📊
DEVILS
100%
CAPITALS --
DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CapitalsWSH (-3.5) 0 DevilsNJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Capitals Cover

30.9%

Devils Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NJ +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)

WSH By 1 goal

19.7%

WSH By 2-3 goals

29.6%

NJ By 1 goal

12.1%

NJ By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
WASHINGTON
2
NEW JERSEY
Simulated Score
3
WASHINGTON
5
NEW JERSEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Capitals Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Devils Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Devils (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Devils (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 2, 2026 WSH @ NJ 3 - 7
Mar 20, 2026 NJ @ WSH 1 - 2
Dec 27, 2025 WSH @ NJ 4 - 3
Nov 15, 2025 NJ @ WSH 3 - 2
Sep 28, 2025 WSH @ NJ 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +44.9% more
Washington: 16.7 vs New Jersey: 9.2
Power Play % (L5) +13.5%
Washington: 13.9% vs New Jersey: 0.4%
Takeaways (L5) +11.6% more
Washington: 6.1 vs New Jersey: 5.4
Faceoff % (L5) +2.4%
Washington: 50.1% vs New Jersey: 47.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 3.0 3
NJ Score 2.0 7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
37%MONEY63%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
WSH
NJ
WSH
ML
33% 1-2
100% 3-0
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
0% 0-3
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
TTL
0% 0-2-1
33% 1-2
50% 1-1-1
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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