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MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

43-21-10  |  Road

3
FINAL
Thu, Apr 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

31-35-9  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Jacob Fowler
GOALTENDER

Jacob Fowler

#32 | G
@
Igor Shesterkin
GOALTENDER

Igor Shesterkin

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jacob Fowler None-None 2.00 0.917 --
Igor Shesterkin None-None 3.10 0.880 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 Ldr GAA 3.10
0.917 Ldr Save % 0.880
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
100%
📊
RANGERS
0%
CANADIENS --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
CanadiensMTL (-3.5) 0 RangersNYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canadiens Cover

30.9%

Rangers Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)

MTL By 1 goal

12.1%

MTL By 2-3 goals

9.3%

NYR By 1 goal

19.7%

NYR By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
MONTREAL
4
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
2
MONTREAL
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rangers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rangers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rangers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Rangers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 2, 2026 MTL @ NYR 3 - 2
Dec 13, 2025 MTL @ NYR 4 - 5
Oct 18, 2025 NYR @ MTL 4 - 3
Jan 19, 2025 NYR @ MTL 4 - 5
Nov 30, 2024 MTL @ NYR 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +46.3%
New York: 48.5% vs Montreal: 2.2%
Hits (L5) +25.0% more
New York: 27.9 vs Montreal: 22.3
Takeaways (L5) +15.9% more
New York: 4.7 vs Montreal: 4.1
Blocked Shots (L5) +38.2% more
Montreal: 19.6 vs New York: 12.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MTL Score 3.0 3
NYR Score 4.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
31%MONEY69%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
MTL
NYR
MTL
ML
80% 4-1
67% 2-1
40% 2-3
33% 1-2
ATS
80% 4-1
67% 2-1
60% 3-2
100% 3-0
TTL
60% 3-2
33% 1-2
60% 3-2
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
yardbarker 6 hours, 58 minutes ago
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 7 hours ago
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
yardbarker 7 hours, 11 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 13 hours ago
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
yardbarker 1 day, 1 hour ago