Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Cubs LAA @ CHC

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

3-3  |  Road

2
FINAL
Wed, Apr 1 • 2:20 PM ET
Wrigley Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

CUBSCHC

2-3  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Travis d'Arnaud
STARTING PITCHER

Travis d'Arnaud

#25 | Catcher
@
Caleb Thielbar
STARTING PITCHER

Caleb Thielbar

#24 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Travis d'Arnaud None-None -- -- -- --
Caleb Thielbar None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 0.00
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
100%
📊
CUBS
0%
ANGELS --
CUBS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Chicago)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 CubsCHC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

40.1%

Cubs Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHC -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)

LAA By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAA By 3-4 runs

10.6%

CHC By 1-2 runs

19.6%

CHC By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
2
LOS ANGELES
3
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cubs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cubs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cubs (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Cubs (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim o6.0 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 1, 2026 LAA @ CHC 2 - 6
Mar 31, 2026 LAA @ CHC 2 - 0
Mar 30, 2026 LAA @ CHC 2 - 7
Aug 24, 2025 CHC @ LAA 4 - 3
Aug 23, 2025 CHC @ LAA 12 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Chicago CHC
162 ▲
Games Played
2
4.04 ▲
Runs / Game
0.50
.234 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.129
.310 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.369 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.145
.679 ▲
OPS
.374
154 ▲
Home Runs
0
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +11.7% more
Chicago: 8.6 vs Los Angeles: 7.7
Home Runs (Season) +100.0% more
Los Angeles: 154.0 vs Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season) +87.6% more
Los Angeles: 4.0 vs Chicago: 0.5
Errors (L5) +79.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.0 vs Chicago: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 2.0 2
CHC Score 3.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 1.0 1.0 / 2.0
Hits 6.2 / 6.0 10.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 1.1 / 1.1 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.6 / 7.7 16.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 10.0 / 10.4 13.0 / 4.0
Walks 4.0 / 5.4 2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
8%MONEY92%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
23%MONEY77%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
CHC Advantage
89-75-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHC
LAA
CHC
LAA
ML
58% 93-68
59% 96-66
51% 82-79
55% 89-73
ATS
61% 97-63-1
60% 97-65
47% 75-85-1
51% 82-80
TTL
52% 81-74-6
53% 83-74-5
46% 72-83-6
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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