Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Grizzlies NY @ MEM

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

48-28  |  Road

130
FINAL
Wed, Apr 1 • 8:00 PM ET
FedExForum
View Odds Details →

MEMPHIS

GRIZZLIESMEM

25-50  |  Home

119
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
📊
GRIZZLIES
0%
KNICKS --
GRIZZLIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
241.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Memphis)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 GrizzliesMEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

46.0%

Grizzlies Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MEM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)

NY By 1-7 points

24.3%

NY By 8-14 points

13.7%

MEM By 1-7 points

26.2%

MEM By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
120
NEW YORK
121
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
108
NEW YORK
112
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Grizzlies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Grizzlies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Grizzlies (+13.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Grizzlies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o224.5 Win
Proj Total: 241.0
D
Sim u224.5 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 1, 2026 NY @ MEM 130 - 119
Nov 11, 2025 MEM @ NY 120 - 133
Feb 28, 2025 NY @ MEM 114 - 113
Jan 27, 2025 MEM @ NY 106 - 143
Feb 6, 2024 MEM @ NY 113 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +43.2% more
Memphis: 9.7 vs New York: 6.8
Blocks (L5) +41.5% more
Memphis: 3.8 vs New York: 2.7
Turnovers (L5) +24.7% more
Memphis: 16.8 vs New York: 13.5
Assists (L5) +10.9% more
Memphis: 26.6 vs New York: 24.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 120.0 130
MEM Score 121.0 119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.5 / 36.7 44.0 / 41.0
Assists 26.6 / 24.0 27.0 / 36.0
Blocks 3.8 / 2.7 4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 46.4 / 46.5 51.0 / 55.0
Free Throw % 83.2 / 80.8 83.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 35.4 / 40.0 20.0 / 49.0
Steals 9.7 / 6.8 10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 16.8 / 13.5 14.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
82%MONEY18%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
81%MONEY19%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
MEM
25-57-0 (30.5%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
MEM
37-45-0 (45.1%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
NY
MEM
NY
ML
57% 59-44
61% 114-72
50% 41-41
56% 57-45
ATS
63% 65-38
67% 124-62
50% 41-41
56% 57-45
TTL
70% 71-31-1
72% 133-53
100% 82-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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