ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
43-33 | Road
130
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
40-35 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
0%
MAGIC
100%
HAWKS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ATL -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
ATL By 1-7 points
24.3%
ATL By 8-14 points
26.8%
ORL By 1-7 points
12.2%
ORL By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
116
ATLANTA
Orlando
107
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Atlanta
108
ATLANTA
Orlando
112
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hawks (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u234.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Sim
u234.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 1, 2026
ATL @ ORL
130 - 101
Mar 16, 2026
ORL @ ATL
112 - 124
Nov 4, 2025
ORL @ ATL
112 - 127
Oct 24, 2025
ATL @ ORL
111 - 107
Apr 15, 2025
ATL @ ORL
95 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+66.1% more
Atlanta: 4.4
vs
Orlando: 1.5
Assists (L5)
+20.2% more
Atlanta: 29.5
vs
Orlando: 23.6
Steals (L5)
+8.7% more
Atlanta: 8.4
vs
Orlando: 7.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Atlanta: 37.9%
vs
Orlando: 33.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
116.0
130
ORL Score
107.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 37.9
19.0 / 41.0
Assists
23.6 / 29.5
29.0 / 27.0
Blocks
1.5 / 4.4
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 47.5
40.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
85.5 / 76.8
81.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
40.2 / 42.5
36.0 / 52.0
Steals
7.6 / 8.4
7.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
20.0 / 11.9
18.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
ATL
ORL
ATL
ML
61%
65-42
50%
52-52
56%
51-40
55%
48-40
ATS
64%
68-38-1
53%
55-48-1
56%
51-40
55%
48-40
TTL
57%
61-46
53%
55-48-1
100%
91-0
100%
88-0
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