Home / NHL Projections NHL / Ducks @ Sharks ANA @ SJ

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

41-28-5  |  Road

3
FINAL
Wed, Apr 1 • 9:00 PM ET
SAP Center at San Jose
View Odds Details →

SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

34-31-7  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Lukas Dostal
GOALTENDER

Lukas Dostal

#1 | Goaltender
@
Yaroslav Askarov
GOALTENDER

Yaroslav Askarov

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Lukas Dostal None-None 4.02 0.810 --
Yaroslav Askarov None-None 3.04 0.903 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.02 GAA Ldr 3.04
0.810 Save % Ldr 0.903
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
0%
📊
SHARKS
100%
DUCKS --
SHARKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
SAN JOSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
DucksANA (-3.5) 0 SharksSJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ducks Cover

30.9%

Sharks Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around SJ +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJ)

ANA By 1 goal

19.7%

ANA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

SJ By 1 goal

12.1%

SJ By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
ANAHEIM
2
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
2
ANAHEIM
4
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Ducks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sharks Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Sharks (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Sharks (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 SJ @ ANA 1 - 6
Apr 1, 2026 ANA @ SJ 3 - 4
Dec 29, 2025 SJ @ ANA 5 - 4
Oct 11, 2025 ANA @ SJ 7 - 6
Oct 1, 2025 ANA @ SJ 5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +35.7% more
Anaheim: 6.1 vs San Jose: 4.0
Power Play % (L5) +29.0%
Anaheim: 72.0% vs San Jose: 43.0%
Shots on Goal (L5) +17.5% more
Anaheim: 28.0 vs San Jose: 23.1
Faceoff % (L5) +6.5%
Anaheim: 47.4% vs San Jose: 40.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ANA Score 3.0 3
SJ Score 2.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
61%MONEY39%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
94%MONEY6%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
ANA
SJ
ANA
ML
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
ATS
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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