Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Sooners @ Buffaloes OU @ COLO

OKLAHOMA

SOONERSOU

19-15  |  Road

90
FINAL
Wed, Apr 1 • 8:00 PM ET
MGM Grand Garden Arena
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

BUFFALOESCOLO

17-15  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
SOONERS
0%
📊
BUFFALOES
100%
SOONERS --
BUFFALOES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
SoonersOU (-3.5) 0 BuffaloesCOLO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sooners Cover

34.5%

Buffaloes Cover

65.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COLO +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLO)

OU By 1-7 points

27.4%

OU By 8-14 points

21.6%

COLO By 1-7 points

20.1%

COLO By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
81
OKLAHOMA
77
COLORADO
Simulated Score
74
OKLAHOMA
82
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Sooners Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Buffaloes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Buffaloes (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim Buffaloes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u163.5 Loss
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim u163.5 Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 1, 2026 OU @ COLO 90 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +12.0% more
Oklahoma: 36.4 vs Colorado: 32.1
Free Throw % (L5) +2.8%
Oklahoma: 76.9% vs Colorado: 74.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.7%
Oklahoma: 48.7% vs Colorado: 47.0%
Turnovers (L5) +12.9% more
Colorado: 9.7 vs Oklahoma: 8.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OU Score 81.0 90
COLO Score 77.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.2 / 33.9 30.0 / 27.0
Assists 16.2 / 15.4 8.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.5 / 3.8 2.0 / 9.0
Field Goal % 47.0 / 48.7 38.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 74.1 / 76.9 85.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 32.1 / 36.4 45.0 / 38.0
Steals 6.0 / 5.7 6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 9.7 / 8.6 15.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
79%MONEY21%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
77%MONEY23%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OU Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
COLO
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OU
17-19-1 (47.2%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
COLO Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: +1.8
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLO
OU
COLO
OU
ML
61% 20-13
78% 28-8
69% 22-10
59% 20-14
ATS
73% 24-9
72% 26-10
69% 22-10
59% 20-14
TTL
45% 15-18
75% 27-9
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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