PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
38-38 | Road
114
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
39-36 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
207.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
POR By 1-7 points
24.3%
POR By 8-14 points
13.7%
LAC By 1-7 points
26.2%
LAC By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
103
PORTLAND
LA
104
LA
Simulated Score
Portland
112
PORTLAND
LA
118
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u225.5
Win
Proj Total: 207.0
D
Sim
u225.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
LAC @ POR
97 - 116
Mar 31, 2026
POR @ LAC
114 - 104
Dec 26, 2025
LAC @ POR
119 - 103
Oct 26, 2025
POR @ LAC
107 - 114
Jan 16, 2025
LAC @ POR
118 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+38.7% more
LA: 11.6
vs
Portland: 8.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.9%
LA: 41.7%
vs
Portland: 34.8%
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.5%
LA: 80.7%
vs
Portland: 74.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
LA: 52.3%
vs
Portland: 47.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
103.0
114
LAC Score
104.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.7 / 34.8
33.0 / 33.0
Assists
25.2 / 24.5
19.0 / 22.0
Blocks
5.8 / 8.2
9.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
52.3 / 47.7
50.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
80.7 / 74.2
78.0 / 94.0
Rebounding
41.5 / 48.9
30.0 / 48.0
Steals
11.6 / 8.4
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 18.7
14.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
POR
LAC
POR
ML
60%
59-40
53%
56-49
55%
45-37
55%
49-40
ATS
66%
65-33-1
62%
65-39-1
55%
45-37
55%
49-40
TTL
59%
58-40-1
56%
58-46-1
100%
82-0
100%
89-0
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