Home / NBA Projections NBA / Cavaliers @ Lakers CLE @ LAL

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

47-28  |  Road

113
FINAL
Tue, Mar 31 • 10:30 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

49-26  |  Home

127
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
📊
LAKERS
0%
CAVALIERS --
LAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
242.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Los Angeles)
CavaliersCLE (-3.5) 0 LakersLAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cavaliers Cover

15.9%

Lakers Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAL -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAL)

CLE By 1-7 points

10.7%

CLE By 8-14 points

3.3%

LAL By 1-7 points

23.0%

LAL By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
116
CLEVELAND
126
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
108
CLEVELAND
112
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lakers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lakers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lakers (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Lakers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o234.5 Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Sim u234.5 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 31, 2026 CLE @ LAL 113 - 127
Jan 28, 2026 LAL @ CLE 99 - 129
Dec 31, 2024 CLE @ LAL 122 - 110
Oct 30, 2024 LAL @ CLE 110 - 134
Apr 6, 2024 CLE @ LAL 97 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +62.5% more
Los Angeles: 6.5 vs Cleveland: 4.0
Turnovers (L5) +21.5% more
Los Angeles: 14.2 vs Cleveland: 11.7
Steals (L5) +18.2% more
Los Angeles: 9.0 vs Cleveland: 7.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.8%
Los Angeles: 34.9% vs Cleveland: 32.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 116.0 113
LAL Score 126.0 127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.9 / 32.1 42.0 / 33.0
Assists 25.4 / 31.0 26.0 / 26.0
Blocks 6.5 / 4.0 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 53.6 / 51.2 54.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 75.7 / 81.4 92.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 44.5 / 45.5 37.0 / 35.0
Steals 9.0 / 7.6 9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 14.2 / 11.7 12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAL
CLE
LAL
CLE
ML
61% 68-43
60% 69-46
54% 49-42
56% 55-44
ATS
61% 67-43-1
67% 75-37-3
54% 49-42
56% 55-44
TTL
61% 66-43-2
59% 68-47
100% 91-0
100% 99-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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