TAMPA BAY
RAYSTB
2-2 | Road
2
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
3-1 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Shane McClanahan
#18 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Abner Uribe
#45 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane McClanahan | None-None | 3.86 | -- | 4.2 | 4 |
| Abner Uribe | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.86
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
4.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
4 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
RAYS
100%
BREWERS
0%
RAYS
--
BREWERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
TB By 1-2 runs
10.6%
TB By 3-4 runs
5.4%
MIL By 1-2 runs
18.4%
MIL By 3-4 runs
19.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Tampa Bay
1
TAMPA BAY
Milwaukee
4
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Tampa Bay
4
TAMPA BAY
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Brewers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Brewers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Brewers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim
Brewers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 1, 2026
TB @ MIL
2 - 8
Mar 31, 2026
TB @ MIL
2 - 6
Mar 30, 2026
TB @ MIL
3 - 2
May 11, 2025
MIL @ TB
4 - 2
May 10, 2025
MIL @ TB
2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Tampa Bay
TB
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.54
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.258
Avg (AVG)
.258
.326
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.728
OPS
▲
.743
169
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+88.6% more
Milwaukee: 12.9
vs
Tampa Bay: 6.8
Walks (L5)
+44.1% more
Milwaukee: 3.5
vs
Tampa Bay: 2.5
Home Runs (L5)
+15.0% more
Milwaukee: 1.1
vs
Tampa Bay: 0.9
Runs per Game (Season)
+13.2% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Tampa Bay: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TB Score
1.0
2
MIL Score
4.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 1.0
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.3 / 10.5
7.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 0.9
2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
12.9 / 6.8
8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
13.3 / 14.8
14.0 / 16.0
Walks
3.5 / 2.5
2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TB
101-64-0
(61.2%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TB
Advantage
(53.3%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-:
MIL
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TB
76-83-6
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: +0.6
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
TB
MIL
TB
ML
62%
101-61
58%
95-68
52%
84-78
58%
95-68
ATS
58%
94-68
60%
97-66
48%
78-84
55%
90-73
TTL
40%
62-92-8
47%
73-81-9
50%
77-77-8
51%
78-75-10
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