CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
39-36 | Road
117
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
18-57 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
0%
NETS
100%
HORNETS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
240.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+8.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN +8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
CHA By 1-7 points
25.3%
CHA By 8-14 points
26.2%
BKN By 1-7 points
13.7%
BKN By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
124
CHARLOTTE
Brooklyn
116
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Charlotte
112
CHARLOTTE
Brooklyn
118
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hornets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (+17.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +8.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o218.5
Loss
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Sim
u218.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 31, 2026
CHA @ BKN
117 - 86
Dec 1, 2025
CHA @ BKN
103 - 116
Oct 22, 2025
BKN @ CHA
117 - 136
Mar 8, 2025
BKN @ CHA
102 - 105
Feb 10, 2025
CHA @ BKN
89 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+19.7% more
Charlotte: 45.1
vs
Brooklyn: 36.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.0%
Charlotte: 78.5%
vs
Brooklyn: 74.5%
Steals (L5)
+137.1% more
Brooklyn: 10.9
vs
Charlotte: 4.6
Blocks (L5)
+38.3% more
Brooklyn: 3.4
vs
Charlotte: 2.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
124.0
117
BKN Score
116.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.8 / 34.9
20.0 / 31.0
Assists
26.0 / 22.8
14.0 / 28.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.4
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 45.5
38.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
74.5 / 78.5
85.0 / 92.0
Rebounding
36.2 / 45.1
30.0 / 47.0
Steals
10.9 / 4.6
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
15.7 / 13.5
16.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
CHA
BKN
CHA
ML
53%
50-45
61%
60-39
59%
48-34
48%
40-44
ATS
52%
48-44-3
60%
59-40
59%
48-34
48%
40-44
TTL
57%
54-41
58%
57-42
100%
82-0
100%
84-0
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