Home / NBA Projections NBA / Suns @ Magic PHX @ ORL

PHOENIX

SUNSPHX

42-33  |  Road

111
FINAL
Tue, Mar 31 • 7:00 PM ET
Kia Center
View Odds Details →

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

39-35  |  Home

115
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
100%
📊
MAGIC
0%
SUNS --
MAGIC --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Orlando)
SunsPHX (-3.5) 0 MagicORL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Suns Cover

30.9%

Magic Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)

PHX By 1-7 points

18.6%

PHX By 8-14 points

8.0%

ORL By 1-7 points

27.2%

ORL By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
113
PHOENIX
118
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
107
PHOENIX
112
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Magic Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Magic Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Magic (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Magic (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o225.5 Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Sim u225.5 Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 31, 2026 PHX @ ORL 111 - 115
Feb 21, 2026 ORL @ PHX 110 - 113
Dec 8, 2024 PHX @ ORL 110 - 115
Nov 18, 2024 ORL @ PHX 109 - 99
Jan 28, 2024 PHX @ ORL 98 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +57.4% more
Orlando: 17.5 vs Phoenix: 11.1
Free Throw % (L5) +20.4%
Orlando: 85.8% vs Phoenix: 65.4%
Blocks (L5) +66.1% more
Phoenix: 5.1 vs Orlando: 1.7
Steals (L5) +49.5% more
Phoenix: 9.8 vs Orlando: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHX Score 113.0 111
ORL Score 118.0 115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.9 / 36.7 34.0 / 30.0
Assists 23.4 / 30.5 24.0 / 24.0
Blocks 1.7 / 5.1 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 48.1 44.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 85.8 / 65.4 85.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 37.3 / 47.3 46.0 / 41.0
Steals 5.0 / 9.8 13.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 17.5 / 11.1 25.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
ORL Advantage
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX Advantage
50-38-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
ORL
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -1.6
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
PHX
ORL
PHX
ML
61% 65-42
57% 60-45
56% 51-40
51% 45-43
ATS
64% 68-38-1
58% 59-43-3
56% 51-40
51% 45-43
TTL
57% 61-46
59% 61-42-2
100% 91-0
100% 88-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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