NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
48-27 | Road
94
HOUSTON
ROCKETSHOU
45-29 | Home
111
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
ROCKETS
100%
KNICKS
--
ROCKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
242.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
20.1%
NY By 8-14 points
27.2%
HOU By 1-7 points
8.0%
HOU By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
127
NEW YORK
Houston
115
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
New York
108
NEW YORK
Houston
112
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rockets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Rockets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o217.5
Loss
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Sim
u217.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 31, 2026
NY @ HOU
94 - 111
Feb 21, 2026
HOU @ NY
106 - 108
Feb 3, 2025
HOU @ NY
118 - 124
Nov 4, 2024
NY @ HOU
97 - 109
Feb 12, 2024
NY @ HOU
103 - 105
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.9%
New York: 40.5%
vs
Houston: 36.5%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.9%
New York: 83.7%
vs
Houston: 79.7%
Blocks (L5)
+134.1% more
Houston: 7.1
vs
New York: 3.1
Rebounding (L5)
+34.9% more
Houston: 53.4
vs
New York: 39.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
127.0
94
HOU Score
115.0
111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.5 / 40.5
43.0 / 29.0
Assists
29.9 / 25.0
35.0 / 22.0
Blocks
7.1 / 3.1
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 48.7
54.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
79.7 / 83.7
75.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
53.4 / 39.6
38.0 / 41.0
Steals
8.3 / 7.7
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 14.7
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
HOU
54-34-0
(61.4%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
HOU
38-50-0
(43.2%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
NY
HOU
NY
ML
61%
69-44
61%
114-72
59%
51-35
56%
57-45
ATS
62%
70-43
67%
124-62
59%
51-35
56%
57-45
TTL
51%
58-55
72%
133-53
100%
86-0
100%
102-0
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