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OTTAWA

SENATORSOTT

38-25-10  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Mar 31 • 7:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

35-35-3  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Linus Ullmark
GOALTENDER

Linus Ullmark

#35 | Goaltender
@
Dmitry Kulikov
GOALTENDER

Dmitry Kulikov

#7 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Linus Ullmark None-None 20.55 0.688 --
Dmitry Kulikov None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
20.55 GAA --
0.688 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
SENATORS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Florida)
SenatorsOTT (-3.5) 0 PanthersFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Senators Cover

30.9%

Panthers Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

OTT By 1 goal

12.1%

OTT By 2-3 goals

9.3%

FLA By 1 goal

19.7%

FLA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
OTTAWA
3
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
2
OTTAWA
4
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 FLA @ OTT 1 - 5
Mar 31, 2026 OTT @ FLA 3 - 6
Jan 10, 2026 FLA @ OTT 3 - 2
Oct 11, 2025 OTT @ FLA 2 - 6
Apr 5, 2025 FLA @ OTT 0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +61.5%
Ottawa: 63.5% vs Florida: 2.0%
Blocked Shots (L5) +25.7% more
Ottawa: 12.3 vs Florida: 9.1
Takeaways (L5) +20.4% more
Ottawa: 5.7 vs Florida: 4.5
Hits (L5) +15.8% more
Ottawa: 25.1 vs Florida: 21.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OTT Score 2.0 3
FLA Score 3.0 6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
88%MONEY12%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
75%MONEY25%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
OTT
FLA
OTT
ML
0% 0-4
25% 1-3
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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