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DALLAS

STARSDAL

44-18-12  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Mar 31 • 7:00 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

42-24-8  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Jake Oettinger
GOALTENDER

Jake Oettinger

#29 | Goaltender
@
Nikita Zadorov
GOALTENDER

Nikita Zadorov

#91 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jake Oettinger None-None 4.13 0.818 --
Nikita Zadorov None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.13 GAA --
0.818 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
0%
📊
BRUINS
100%
STARS --
BRUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
StarsDAL (-3.5) 0 BruinsBOS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stars Cover

30.9%

Bruins Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BOS +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

DAL By 1 goal

19.7%

DAL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

BOS By 1 goal

12.1%

BOS By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
DALLAS
2
BOSTON
Simulated Score
2
DALLAS
3
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Stars Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bruins Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bruins (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Bruins (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 31, 2026 DAL @ BOS 3 - 6
Jan 20, 2026 BOS @ DAL 2 - 6
Nov 14, 2024 BOS @ DAL 2 - 7
Oct 24, 2024 DAL @ BOS 5 - 2
Feb 19, 2024 DAL @ BOS 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +24.8% more
Dallas: 29.9 vs Boston: 22.5
Takeaways (L5) +23.9% more
Dallas: 4.7 vs Boston: 3.6
Hits (L5) +26.1% more
Boston: 21.7 vs Dallas: 17.2
Blocked Shots (L5) +15.6% more
Boston: 18.6 vs Dallas: 16.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 3.0 3
BOS Score 2.0 6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
80%MONEY20%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
DAL
BOS
DAL
ML
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
ATS
50% 2-2
0% 0-3
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
TTL
75% 3-1
100% 3-0
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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