ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
0-3 | Road
0
ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
2-1 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Elvis Alvarado
#37 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Raisel Iglesias
#26 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Alvarado | None-None | 9.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Raisel Iglesias | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
9.00
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
100%
BRAVES
0%
ATHLETICS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
ATH By 1-2 runs
16.3%
ATH By 3-4 runs
10.6%
ATL By 1-2 runs
19.6%
ATL By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
2
ATHLETICS
Atlanta
3
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Atlanta
6
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Braves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Braves (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Braves (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u9.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u9.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 1, 2026
ATH @ ATL
1 - 5
Mar 31, 2026
ATH @ ATL
5 - 2
Mar 30, 2026
ATH @ ATL
0 - 4
Jul 10, 2025
ATL @ ATH
4 - 5
Jul 9, 2025
ATL @ ATH
9 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Atlanta
ATL
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.31
Runs / Game
▲
5.00
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.324
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.433
.719
OPS
▲
.757
194
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+32.1% more
Atlanta: 1.4
vs
Athletics: 1.1
Hits (L5)
+30.8% more
Atlanta: 8.0
vs
Athletics: 6.1
Strikeouts (L5)
+30.2% more
Atlanta: 8.3
vs
Athletics: 6.4
Total Bases (L5)
+27.3% more
Atlanta: 13.4
vs
Athletics: 10.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
2.0
0
ATL Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.4
2.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.0 / 6.1
9.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 1.1
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.3 / 6.4
7.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
13.4 / 10.5
13.0 / 9.0
Walks
3.0 / 4.3
1.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
ATH
ATL
ATH
ML
46%
77-90
59%
95-67
54%
90-78
54%
87-74
ATS
57%
96-71
52%
84-78
52%
87-81
50%
81-80
TTL
53%
83-73-11
54%
84-73-5
49%
76-80-11
42%
66-90-5
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