MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
1-2 | Road
1
KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
1-2 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Taylor Rogers
#55 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Daniel Lynch IV
#41 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Rogers | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Daniel Lynch IV | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00
ERA
0.00
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
100%
ROYALS
0%
TWINS
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Kansas City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around KC -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)
MIN By 1-2 runs
16.3%
MIN By 3-4 runs
10.6%
KC By 1-2 runs
19.6%
KC By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Kansas City
4
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Kansas City
5
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Royals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Royals (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Royals (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u10.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u10.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 6, 2026
MIN @ KC
4 - 3
Aug 5, 2026
MIN @ KC
1 - 2
Aug 4, 2026
MIN @ KC
2 - 8
Jul 30, 2026
KC @ MIN
3 - 4
Jul 29, 2026
KC @ MIN
4 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
Kansas City
KC
162
Games Played
162
4.56
▲
Runs / Game
4.26
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.720
▲
OPS
.718
187
▲
Home Runs
170
Key Model Drivers
Batting Avg (Season)
+0.2%
Kansas City: 24.7%
vs
Minnesota: 24.5%
Walks (L5)
+40.2% more
Minnesota: 3.9
vs
Kansas City: 2.3
Errors (L5)
+25.0% more
Minnesota: 0.3
vs
Kansas City: 0.1
Strikeouts (L5)
+17.4% more
Minnesota: 9.7
vs
Kansas City: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.0
1
KC Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.3
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.2 / 7.7
7.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 0.9
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.0 / 9.7
6.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
11.5 / 13.0
14.0 / 7.0
Walks
2.3 / 3.9
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
MIN
KC
MIN
ML
55%
89-72
52%
84-78
56%
90-70
50%
80-81
ATS
57%
91-70
59%
95-67
58%
93-67
59%
95-66
TTL
58%
90-64-7
51%
78-75-9
54%
83-70-7
53%
80-72-9
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