CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
29-45 | Road
114
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
56-18 | Home
129
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
SPURS
0%
BULLS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
253.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SA -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
CHI By 1-7 points
15.3%
CHI By 8-14 points
5.8%
SA By 1-7 points
26.2%
SA By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
123
CHICAGO
San Antonio
130
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Chicago
112
CHICAGO
San Antonio
119
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spurs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spurs (+18)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Spurs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o246.5
Loss
Proj Total: 253.0
D
Sim
u246.5
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 30, 2026
CHI @ SA
114 - 129
Nov 10, 2025
SA @ CHI
121 - 117
Jan 6, 2025
SA @ CHI
110 - 114
Dec 5, 2024
CHI @ SA
139 - 124
Jan 13, 2024
CHI @ SA
122 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+27.8% more
San Antonio: 8.6
vs
Chicago: 6.7
Assists (L5)
+24.8% more
San Antonio: 33.7
vs
Chicago: 27.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
San Antonio: 51.7%
vs
Chicago: 47.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.9%
San Antonio: 37.3%
vs
Chicago: 33.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
123.0
114
SA Score
130.0
129
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.3 / 33.4
41.0 / 30.0
Assists
33.7 / 27.0
31.0 / 26.0
Blocks
5.7 / 6.7
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
51.7 / 47.5
51.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
78.6 / 76.8
71.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
50.1 / 48.6
55.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.6 / 6.7
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 17.3
12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
CHI
SA
CHI
ML
60%
111-73
56%
54-42
58%
61-44
57%
46-35
ATS
58%
107-76-1
65%
62-33-1
58%
61-44
57%
46-35
TTL
74%
134-47-3
58%
56-40
100%
105-0
100%
81-0
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