PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
41-33 | Road
131
MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
25-49 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
0%
GRIZZLIES
100%
SUNS
--
GRIZZLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
245.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHX -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
PHX By 1-7 points
18.6%
PHX By 8-14 points
26.8%
MEM By 1-7 points
6.8%
MEM By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
129
PHOENIX
Memphis
116
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
Phoenix
109
PHOENIX
Memphis
121
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Suns
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Grizzlies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Suns (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Grizzlies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o228.5
Win
Proj Total: 245.0
D
Sim
u228.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 30, 2026
PHX @ MEM
131 - 105
Jan 7, 2026
PHX @ MEM
117 - 98
Oct 29, 2025
MEM @ PHX
114 - 113
Mar 10, 2025
PHX @ MEM
118 - 120
Feb 25, 2025
PHX @ MEM
148 - 151
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+37.2% more
Phoenix: 5.1
vs
Memphis: 3.2
Rebounding (L5)
+22.8% more
Phoenix: 47.4
vs
Memphis: 36.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Phoenix: 47.2%
vs
Memphis: 44.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.7%
Phoenix: 36.0%
vs
Memphis: 33.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
129.0
131
MEM Score
116.0
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.3 / 36.0
37.0 / 38.0
Assists
26.9 / 26.2
26.0 / 39.0
Blocks
3.2 / 5.1
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 47.2
51.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
79.8 / 73.2
90.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
36.6 / 47.4
33.0 / 47.0
Steals
12.1 / 8.3
5.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 11.2
23.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
PHX
MEM
PHX
ML
57%
59-44
57%
60-45
50%
41-41
51%
45-43
ATS
63%
65-38
58%
59-43-3
50%
41-41
51%
45-43
TTL
70%
71-31-1
59%
61-42-2
100%
82-0
100%
88-0
Contextual Game News
Chicago Bulls Edge Phoenix Suns 124-117 in Preseason Opener
Caleb Wilson's Bulls Debut: Rookie Brings Bold Talk and Mixed Re…
Phoenix Suns 2026-27 Season Preview: Can Devin Booker and the Re…
Desmond Bane Returns to FedExForum as Grizzlies Host Magic in Pr…
Suns Preseason Opener: Starters Shine, Bench Battles Emerge in L…