Home / NBA Projections NBA / Cavaliers @ Jazz CLE @ UTAH

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

46-28  |  Road

122
FINAL
Mon, Mar 30 • 9:00 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

21-54  |  Home

113
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
📊
JAZZ
100%
CAVALIERS --
JAZZ --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+10.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CavaliersCLE (-3.5) 0 JazzUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cavaliers Cover

15.9%

Jazz Cover

84.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH +10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

CLE By 1-7 points

23.0%

CLE By 8-14 points

27.2%

UTAH By 1-7 points

10.7%

UTAH By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
112
CLEVELAND
102
UTAH
Simulated Score
108
CLEVELAND
115
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jazz Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jazz (+16.5) Win
Proj Spread: +10.0
D
Sim Jazz (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u241.5 Win
Proj Total: 214.0
D
Sim u241.5 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 30, 2026 CLE @ UTAH 122 - 113
Jan 12, 2026 UTAH @ CLE 123 - 112
Mar 23, 2025 CLE @ UTAH 120 - 91
Dec 23, 2024 UTAH @ CLE 113 - 124
Apr 2, 2024 CLE @ UTAH 129 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +10.7%
Cleveland: 81.6% vs Utah: 70.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
Cleveland: 38.6% vs Utah: 33.7%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.0%
Cleveland: 50.7% vs Utah: 48.8%
Blocks (L5) +100.0% more
Utah: 5.0 vs Cleveland: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 112.0 122
UTAH Score 102.0 113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.7 / 38.6 52.0 / 19.0
Assists 30.7 / 30.0 32.0 / 33.0
Blocks 5.0 / 2.5 3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 48.8 / 50.7 48.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 70.9 / 81.6 70.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 41.7 / 43.7 40.0 / 49.0
Steals 9.3 / 7.0 9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.8 / 11.5 15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
69%MONEY31%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
UTAH Advantage
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
CLE
UTAH
CLE
ML
60% 96-63
60% 69-46
48% 40-43
56% 55-44
ATS
68% 108-51
67% 75-37-3
48% 40-43
56% 55-44
TTL
75% 119-39-1
59% 68-47
100% 83-0
100% 99-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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