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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

31-30-11  |  Road

4
FINAL
Mon, Mar 30 • 10:00 PM ET
SAP Center at San Jose
View Odds Details →

SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

33-31-7  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Joel Hofer
GOALTENDER

Joel Hofer

#30 | Goaltender
@
Yaroslav Askarov
GOALTENDER

Yaroslav Askarov

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Joel Hofer None-None 5.05 0.828 --
Yaroslav Askarov None-None 4.00 0.846 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
5.05 GAA Ldr 4.00
0.828 Save % Ldr 0.846
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
0%
📊
SHARKS
100%
BLUES --
SHARKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
SAN JOSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 SharksSJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

30.9%

Sharks Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around SJ +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJ)

STL By 1 goal

19.7%

STL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

SJ By 1 goal

12.1%

SJ By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
ST. LOUIS
2
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
4
ST. LOUIS
1
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blues Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Sharks (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Blues (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 30, 2026 STL @ SJ 4 - 5
Mar 26, 2026 SJ @ STL 1 - 2
Mar 6, 2026 STL @ SJ 3 - 2
Dec 12, 2024 SJ @ STL 4 - 3
Nov 21, 2024 SJ @ STL 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +24.8% more
St. Louis: 30.8 vs San Jose: 23.1
Blocked Shots (L5) +200.0% more
San Jose: 18.8 vs St. Louis: 6.3
Hits (L5) +19.2% more
San Jose: 22.2 vs St. Louis: 18.6
Faceoff % (L5) +6.2%
San Jose: 40.9% vs St. Louis: 34.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 3.0 4
SJ Score 2.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
53%MONEY47%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
53%MONEY47%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
STL
SJ
STL
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
50% 1-1-1
33% 1-2
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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