SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
19-56 | Road
99
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
17-57 | Home
116
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
NETS
0%
KINGS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
SAC By 1-7 points
23.0%
SAC By 8-14 points
12.2%
BKN By 1-7 points
26.8%
BKN By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
108
SACRAMENTO
Brooklyn
110
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Sacramento
110
SACRAMENTO
Brooklyn
118
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u218.5
Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Sim
u218.5
Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 29, 2026
SAC @ BKN
99 - 116
Mar 22, 2026
BKN @ SAC
122 - 126
Jan 27, 2025
SAC @ BKN
110 - 96
Nov 24, 2024
BKN @ SAC
108 - 103
Apr 7, 2024
SAC @ BKN
107 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+91.0% more
Brooklyn: 11.4
vs
Sacramento: 6.0
Turnovers (L5)
+17.9% more
Brooklyn: 16.0
vs
Sacramento: 13.6
Blocks (L5)
+8.2% more
Brooklyn: 3.0
vs
Sacramento: 2.8
Rebounding (L5)
+15.7% more
Sacramento: 40.6
vs
Brooklyn: 34.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
108.0
99
BKN Score
110.0
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.6 / 39.1
41.0 / 31.0
Assists
24.0 / 28.1
30.0 / 21.0
Blocks
3.0 / 2.8
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.8 / 48.1
49.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
74.2 / 77.4
75.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
34.3 / 40.6
40.0 / 43.0
Steals
11.4 / 6.0
10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
16.0 / 13.6
15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
Advantage
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
SAC
BKN
SAC
ML
53%
50-45
55%
55-45
59%
48-34
61%
50-32
ATS
52%
48-44-3
54%
52-45-3
59%
48-34
61%
50-32
TTL
57%
54-41
58%
57-42-1
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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