CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
2-1 | Road
0
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
1-2 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Colin Holderman
#35 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Emerson Hancock
#26 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Holderman | None-None | 6.00 | -- | 2.0 | 2 |
| Emerson Hancock | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 6.0 | 9 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.00
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
2.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 6.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 9
AI Model Win Probability
GUARDIANS
100%
MARINERS
0%
GUARDIANS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
CLE By 1-2 runs
16.3%
CLE By 3-4 runs
10.6%
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
2
CLEVELAND
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mariners (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Mariners (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 28, 2026
SEA @ CLE
5 - 6
Jun 27, 2026
SEA @ CLE
3 - 4
Jun 26, 2026
SEA @ CLE
3 - 1
Mar 29, 2026
CLE @ SEA
0 - 8
Mar 28, 2026
CLE @ SEA
6 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Cleveland
CLE
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.19
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.239
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.316
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.380
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.696
▲
OPS
.693
162
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+65.5% more
Seattle: 1.9
vs
Cleveland: 1.2
Errors (L5)
+28.0% more
Seattle: 0.6
vs
Cleveland: 0.3
Home Runs (Season)
+12.3% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Cleveland: 162.0
Total Bases (L5)
+10.6% more
Seattle: 14.1
vs
Cleveland: 12.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
2.0
0
SEA Score
3.0
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.3
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.7 / 7.2
9.0 / 2.0
Home Runs
1.9 / 1.2
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.8 / 11.4
14.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
14.1 / 12.8
15.0 / 2.0
Walks
3.0 / 5.3
1.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
Advantage
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
CLE
SEA
CLE
ML
50%
81-81
54%
87-74
52%
85-77
49%
80-82
ATS
60%
98-64
58%
93-68
59%
95-67
59%
95-67
TTL
56%
85-67-10
55%
88-71-2
53%
81-71-10
43%
69-90-2
Contextual Game News
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Trump to Honor Roger Clemens with Presidential Medal of Freedom