Home / NBA Projections NBA / Magic @ Raptors ORL @ TOR

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

39-34  |  Road

87
FINAL
Sun, Mar 29 • 6:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
View Odds Details →

TORONTO

RAPTORSTOR

41-32  |  Home

139
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
📊
RAPTORS
0%
MAGIC --
RAPTORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Toronto)
MagicORL (-3.5) 0 RaptorsTOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Magic Cover

38.2%

Raptors Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOR -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)

ORL By 1-7 points

21.6%

ORL By 8-14 points

10.7%

TOR By 1-7 points

27.2%

TOR By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
108
ORLANDO
111
TORONTO
Simulated Score
108
ORLANDO
112
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Raptors Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raptors Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Raptors (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Raptors (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u225.5 Loss
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Sim u225.5 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 29, 2026 ORL @ TOR 87 - 139
Jan 30, 2026 TOR @ ORL 120 - 130
Dec 29, 2025 ORL @ TOR 106 - 107
Mar 4, 2025 TOR @ ORL 114 - 113
Mar 2, 2025 TOR @ ORL 104 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +220.6% more
Toronto: 6.7 vs Orlando: 2.1
Steals (L5) +59.4% more
Toronto: 8.7 vs Orlando: 5.5
Assists (L5) +35.7% more
Toronto: 34.0 vs Orlando: 25.0
Turnovers (L5) +15.3% more
Toronto: 14.1 vs Orlando: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORL Score 108.0 87
TOR Score 111.0 139
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.9 / 38.9 45.0 / 24.0
Assists 34.0 / 25.0 41.0 / 20.0
Blocks 6.7 / 2.1 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 50.7 / 49.3 57.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 62.3 / 86.7 82.0 / 84.0
Rebounding 42.0 / 38.0 44.0 / 36.0
Steals 8.7 / 5.5 20.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.1 / 12.3 11.0 / 28.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
57%MONEY43%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
65%MONEY35%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
TOR Advantage
49-40-0 (55.1%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
TOR Advantage
46-43-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
ORL
TOR
ORL
ML
55% 57-47
61% 65-42
55% 48-39
56% 51-40
ATS
61% 62-40-2
64% 68-38-1
55% 48-39
56% 51-40
TTL
60% 62-42
57% 61-46
100% 87-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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