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FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

35-34-3  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sun, Mar 29 • 1:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

29-35-9  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Dmitry Kulikov
GOALTENDER

Dmitry Kulikov

#7 | Defense
@
Igor Shesterkin
GOALTENDER

Igor Shesterkin

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dmitry Kulikov None-None -- -- --
Igor Shesterkin None-None 1.00 0.963 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 1.00
-- Save % 0.963
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
RANGERS
100%
PANTHERS --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Florida)
PanthersFLA (-3.5) 0 RangersNYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

84.1%

Rangers Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

FLA By 1 goal

17.5%

FLA By 2-3 goals

37.2%

NYR By 1 goal

6.6%

NYR By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
FLORIDA
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
2
FLORIDA
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rangers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Rangers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 13, 2026 NYR @ FLA 2 - 3
Mar 29, 2026 FLA @ NYR 1 - 3
Jan 2, 2026 NYR @ FLA 5 - 1
Apr 14, 2025 NYR @ FLA 5 - 3
Dec 30, 2024 NYR @ FLA 3 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +13.9% more
Florida: 25.4 vs New York: 21.9
Faceoff % (L5) +3.7%
Florida: 56.9% vs New York: 53.2%
Power Play % (L5) +46.6%
New York: 48.5% vs Florida: 2.0%
Blocked Shots (L5) +33.2% more
New York: 12.1 vs Florida: 9.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FLA Score 3.0 1
NYR Score 1.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
79%MONEY21%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
FLA
NYR
FLA
ML
80% 4-1
0% 0-4
40% 2-3
0% 0-4
ATS
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
TTL
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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