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MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

41-21-10  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Mar 29 • 5:00 PM ET
Lenovo Center
View Odds Details →

CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

46-20-6  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Jakub Dobes
GOALTENDER

Jakub Dobes

#75 | Goaltender
@
Sean Walker
GOALTENDER

Sean Walker

#26 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jakub Dobes None-None 1.00 0.971 --
Sean Walker None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 GAA --
0.971 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
0%
📊
HURRICANES
100%
CANADIENS --
HURRICANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CanadiensMTL (-3.5) 0 HurricanesCAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canadiens Cover

30.9%

Hurricanes Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

MTL By 1 goal

19.7%

MTL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

CAR By 1 goal

12.1%

CAR By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4
MONTREAL
3
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
2
MONTREAL
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Canadiens Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hurricanes Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Hurricanes (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 6, 2026 CAR @ MTL 6 - 4
May 29, 2026 MTL @ CAR 1 - 6
May 27, 2026 CAR @ MTL 4 - 0
May 25, 2026 CAR @ MTL 3 - 2
May 23, 2026 MTL @ CAR 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +44.4% more
Montreal: 19.6 vs Carolina: 10.9
Hits (L5) +18.7% more
Montreal: 22.4 vs Carolina: 18.2
Takeaways (L5) +41.7% more
Carolina: 6.0 vs Montreal: 4.2
Power Play % (L5) +18.2%
Carolina: 20.5% vs Montreal: 2.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MTL Score 4.0 3
CAR Score 3.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
45%MONEY55%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
77%MONEY23%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
MTL
CAR
MTL
ML
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
ATS
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
100% 4-0
100% 3-0
TTL
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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