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NASHVILLE

PREDATORSNSH

34-30-9  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sun, Mar 29 • 5:00 PM ET
Benchmark International Arena
View Odds Details →

TAMPA BAY

LIGHTNINGTB

45-21-6  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Justus Annunen
GOALTENDER

Justus Annunen

#29 | Goaltender
@
J.J. Moser
GOALTENDER

J.J. Moser

#90 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Justus Annunen None-None 3.06 0.893 --
J.J. Moser None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.06 GAA --
0.893 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PREDATORS
100%
📊
LIGHTNING
0%
PREDATORS --
LIGHTNING --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TAMPA BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Tampa Bay)
PredatorsNSH (-3.5) 0 LightningTB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Predators Cover

30.9%

Lightning Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around TB -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TB)

NSH By 1 goal

12.1%

NSH By 2-3 goals

9.3%

TB By 1 goal

19.7%

TB By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
NASHVILLE
3
TAMPA BAY
Simulated Score
2
NASHVILLE
4
TAMPA BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lightning Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lightning Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lightning (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Lightning (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 29, 2026 NSH @ TB 2 - 3
Oct 28, 2025 TB @ NSH 5 - 2
Sep 27, 2025 NSH @ TB 1 - 4
Sep 23, 2025 TB @ NSH 3 - 2
Nov 29, 2024 TB @ NSH 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +41.6% more
Tampa Bay: 12.9 vs Nashville: 9.1
Power Play % (L5) +29.2%
Tampa Bay: 31.5% vs Nashville: 2.2%
Shots on Goal (L5) +21.6% more
Tampa Bay: 33.2 vs Nashville: 27.3
Faceoff % (L5) +6.8%
Tampa Bay: 49.8% vs Nashville: 43.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NSH Score 2.0 2
TB Score 3.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
84%MONEY16%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TB
NSH
TB
NSH
ML
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
ATS
67% 2-1
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
TTL
67% 2-1
100% 3-0
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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