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NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

48-26  |  Road

100
FINAL
Sun, Mar 29 • 7:30 PM ET
Paycom Center
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OKLAHOMA CITY

THUNDEROKC

58-16  |  Home

111
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
📊
THUNDER
0%
KNICKS --
THUNDER --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
OKLAHOMA CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Oklahoma City)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 ThunderOKC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

27.4%

Thunder Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OKC -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKC)

NY By 1-7 points

16.9%

NY By 8-14 points

6.8%

OKC By 1-7 points

26.8%

OKC By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
108
NEW YORK
114
OKLAHOMA CITY
Simulated Score
106
NEW YORK
110
OKLAHOMA CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Thunder Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Thunder Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Thunder (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Thunder (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u223.5 Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim u223.5 Win
Proj Total: 216.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 29, 2026 NY @ OKC 100 - 111
Mar 4, 2026 OKC @ NY 103 - 100
Jan 10, 2025 OKC @ NY 126 - 101
Jan 3, 2025 NY @ OKC 107 - 117
Mar 31, 2024 OKC @ NY 113 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +115.6% more
Oklahoma City: 6.6 vs New York: 3.1
Rebounding (L5) +25.2% more
Oklahoma City: 48.6 vs New York: 38.8
Steals (L5) +10.8% more
Oklahoma City: 8.3 vs New York: 7.5
Turnovers (L5) +12.1% more
New York: 12.5 vs Oklahoma City: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 108.0 100
OKC Score 114.0 111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.6 / 39.2 36.0 / 43.0
Assists 26.2 / 28.0 21.0 / 19.0
Blocks 6.6 / 3.1 0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.9 / 51.1 47.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 79.2 / 87.5 82.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 48.6 / 38.8 39.0 / 41.0
Steals 8.3 / 7.5 10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 12.5 15.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
75%MONEY25%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
OKC Advantage
75-22-0 (77.3%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
OKC
47-50-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
OKC
54-43-0
O: 55.7% / U: 44.3% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKC
NY
OKC
NY
ML
70% 80-34
61% 114-72
48% 46-49
56% 57-45
ATS
73% 83-30-1
67% 124-62
48% 46-49
56% 57-45
TTL
67% 76-38
72% 133-53
100% 95-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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