TENNESSEE
VOLUNTEERSTENN
25-11 | Road
62
MICHIGAN
WOLVERINESMICH
34-3 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
VOLUNTEERS
100%
WOLVERINES
0%
VOLUNTEERS
--
WOLVERINES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MICH -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MICH)
TENN By 1-7 points
13.7%
TENN By 8-14 points
4.8%
MICH By 1-7 points
25.3%
MICH By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Tennessee
77
TENNESSEE
Michigan
85
MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Tennessee
65
TENNESSEE
Michigan
70
MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wolverines
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wolverines
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wolverines (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Wolverines (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 29, 2026
TENN @ MICH
62 - 95
Mar 19, 2022
MICH @ TENN
76 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+43.5% more
Michigan: 7.4
vs
Tennessee: 5.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.8%
Michigan: 43.5%
vs
Tennessee: 34.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.1%
Michigan: 52.9%
vs
Tennessee: 47.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.0%
Michigan: 70.1%
vs
Tennessee: 67.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TENN Score
77.0
62
MICH Score
85.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.5 / 34.7
37.0 / 19.0
Assists
20.2 / 18.9
19.0 / 12.0
Blocks
7.4 / 5.2
8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
52.9 / 47.9
52.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
70.1 / 67.1
73.0 / 53.0
Rebounding
40.4 / 41.6
42.0 / 42.0
Steals
3.6 / 5.2
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.2 / 12.8
11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TENN
25-12-0
(67.6%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
MICH
Advantage
37-3-0
(92.5%)
Margin: 17.8
ATS +/-: +3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TENN
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
MICH
Advantage
19-21-0
(47.5%)
Margin: 17.8
ATS +/-: +3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
TENN
18-19-0
O: 48.7% / U: 51.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
MICH
17-23-0
O: 42.5% / U: 57.5%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MICH
TENN
MICH
TENN
ML
78%
31-9
46%
17-20
63%
24-14
64%
21-12
ATS
78%
31-9
54%
20-17
63%
24-14
64%
21-12
TTL
57%
23-17
76%
28-9
100%
38-0
100%
33-0
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