CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
29-44 | Road
124
MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
24-49 | Home
125
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
GRIZZLIES
100%
BULLS
--
GRIZZLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1-7 points
27.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
23.0%
MEM By 1-7 points
18.6%
MEM By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
116
CHICAGO
Memphis
111
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
Chicago
108
CHICAGO
Memphis
112
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Grizzlies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulls (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Grizzlies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u246.5
Loss
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim
u246.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
CHI @ MEM
124 - 125
Mar 16, 2026
MEM @ CHI
107 - 132
Nov 23, 2024
MEM @ CHI
142 - 131
Oct 28, 2024
CHI @ MEM
126 - 123
Oct 12, 2024
MEM @ CHI
124 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+25.4% more
Chicago: 4.5
vs
Memphis: 3.3
Rebounding (L5)
+21.5% more
Chicago: 46.4
vs
Memphis: 36.4
Assists (L5)
+9.4% more
Chicago: 27.5
vs
Memphis: 24.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.5%
Chicago: 46.2%
vs
Memphis: 42.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
116.0
124
MEM Score
111.0
125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 35.1
32.0 / 30.0
Assists
24.9 / 27.5
31.0 / 26.0
Blocks
3.3 / 4.5
3.0 / 11.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 46.2
47.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
81.8 / 78.2
76.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
36.4 / 46.4
37.0 / 53.0
Steals
9.6 / 6.0
17.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 14.4
14.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
CHI
MEM
CHI
ML
57%
59-44
56%
54-42
50%
41-41
57%
46-35
ATS
63%
65-38
65%
62-33-1
50%
41-41
57%
46-35
TTL
70%
71-31-1
58%
56-40
100%
82-0
100%
81-0
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