PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
40-33 | Road
118
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
39-34 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
HORNETS
0%
76ERS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHA -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
PHI By 1-7 points
16.9%
PHI By 8-14 points
6.8%
CHA By 1-7 points
26.8%
CHA By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
113
PHILADELPHIA
Charlotte
119
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
103
PHILADELPHIA
Charlotte
118
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hornets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hornets (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o230.5
Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Sim
u230.5
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
PHI @ CHA
118 - 114
Jan 26, 2026
PHI @ CHA
93 - 130
Oct 25, 2025
CHA @ PHI
121 - 125
Dec 20, 2024
CHA @ PHI
98 - 108
Dec 16, 2024
PHI @ CHA
121 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+33.4% more
Charlotte: 16.9
vs
Philadelphia: 12.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.8%
Charlotte: 78.4%
vs
Philadelphia: 72.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.5%
Charlotte: 42.0%
vs
Philadelphia: 36.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Charlotte: 51.1%
vs
Philadelphia: 49.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
113.0
118
CHA Score
119.0
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.0 / 36.6
31.0 / 47.0
Assists
28.1 / 29.6
18.0 / 19.0
Blocks
4.2 / 7.3
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
51.1 / 49.2
38.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
78.4 / 72.6
78.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
47.2 / 46.6
53.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.9 / 8.5
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
16.9 / 12.7
9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
PHI
CHA
PHI
ML
61%
60-39
63%
69-40
48%
40-44
48%
45-48
ATS
60%
59-40
65%
71-38
48%
40-44
48%
45-48
TTL
58%
57-42
55%
60-49
100%
84-0
100%
93-0
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