SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
55-18 | Road
127
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
29-43 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
0%
BUCKS
100%
SPURS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
207.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+11.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL +11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
SA By 1-7 points
21.6%
SA By 8-14 points
27.4%
MIL By 1-7 points
9.3%
MIL By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
109
SAN ANTONIO
Milwaukee
98
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
San Antonio
118
SAN ANTONIO
Milwaukee
105
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spurs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bucks (+17.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +11.0
D
Sim
Spurs (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u227.5
Win
Proj Total: 207.0
D
Sim
u227.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
SA @ MIL
127 - 95
Jan 15, 2026
MIL @ SA
101 - 119
Jan 31, 2025
MIL @ SA
118 - 144
Jan 8, 2025
SA @ MIL
105 - 121
Jan 4, 2024
MIL @ SA
125 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+60.3% more
San Antonio: 7.5
vs
Milwaukee: 3.0
Rebounding (L5)
+32.0% more
San Antonio: 54.7
vs
Milwaukee: 37.1
Assists (L5)
+27.6% more
San Antonio: 33.0
vs
Milwaukee: 23.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.9%
San Antonio: 80.4%
vs
Milwaukee: 67.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
109.0
127
MIL Score
98.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 35.9
30.0 / 40.0
Assists
23.9 / 33.0
22.0 / 35.0
Blocks
3.0 / 7.5
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 50.0
44.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
67.5 / 80.4
83.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
37.1 / 54.7
37.0 / 41.0
Steals
8.4 / 6.3
9.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
17.8 / 13.6
19.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
SA
MIL
SA
ML
64%
61-35
60%
111-73
60%
49-32
58%
61-44
ATS
68%
65-31
58%
107-76-1
60%
49-32
58%
61-44
TTL
55%
53-43
74%
134-47-3
100%
81-0
100%
105-0
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