Home / NHL Projections NHL / Wild @ Bruins MIN @ BOS

MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

41-20-12  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Mar 28 • 5:00 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

40-24-8  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Filip Gustavsson
GOALTENDER

Filip Gustavsson

#32 | Goaltender
@
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Filip Gustavsson None-None 5.19 0.833 --
Jeremy Swayman None-None 3.00 0.912 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
5.19 GAA Ldr 3.00
0.833 Save % Ldr 0.912
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
📊
BRUINS
0%
WILD --
BRUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Boston)
WildMIN (-3.5) 0 BruinsBOS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wild Cover

30.9%

Bruins Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

MIN By 1 goal

12.1%

MIN By 2-3 goals

9.3%

BOS By 1 goal

19.7%

BOS By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
MINNESOTA
4
BOSTON
Simulated Score
4
MINNESOTA
2
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bruins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wild Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bruins (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Wild (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 BOS @ MIN 1 - 4
Mar 28, 2026 MIN @ BOS 3 - 6
Dec 14, 2025 BOS @ MIN 2 - 6
Mar 2, 2025 BOS @ MIN 0 - 1
Feb 4, 2025 MIN @ BOS 0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +41.8% more
Boston: 18.6 vs Minnesota: 13.1
Faceoff % (L5) +4.8%
Boston: 52.0% vs Minnesota: 47.2%
Shots on Goal (L5) +40.3% more
Minnesota: 37.7 vs Boston: 22.5
Takeaways (L5) +21.6% more
Minnesota: 4.6 vs Boston: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 3.0 3
BOS Score 4.0 6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
20%MONEY80%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
31%MONEY69%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
MIN
BOS
MIN
ML
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
ATS
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
TTL
75% 3-1
100% 3-0
0% 0-4
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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