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FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

35-33-3  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, Mar 28 • 1:00 PM ET
UBS Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

41-27-5  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Dmitry Kulikov
GOALTENDER

Dmitry Kulikov

#7 | Defense
@
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dmitry Kulikov None-None -- -- --
Ilya Sorokin None-None 2.00 0.905 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 2.00
-- Save % 0.905
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
ISLANDERS
100%
PANTHERS --
ISLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Florida)
PanthersFLA (-3.5) 0 IslandersNYI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

84.1%

Islanders Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

FLA By 1 goal

17.5%

FLA By 2-3 goals

37.2%

NYI By 1 goal

6.6%

NYI By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
FLORIDA
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
3
FLORIDA
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Islanders (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 28, 2026 FLA @ NYI 2 - 5
Mar 1, 2026 FLA @ NYI 4 - 5
Dec 7, 2025 NYI @ FLA 1 - 4
Mar 16, 2025 FLA @ NYI 2 - 4
Feb 2, 2025 NYI @ FLA 3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +20.3% more
Florida: 5.1 vs New York: 4.1
Hits (L5) +12.9% more
Florida: 25.8 vs New York: 22.5
Shots on Goal (L5) +12.0% more
Florida: 25.4 vs New York: 22.4
Blocked Shots (L5) +35.1% more
New York: 12.3 vs Florida: 9.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FLA Score 3.0 2
NYI Score 1.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
40%MONEY60%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
FLA
NYI
FLA
ML
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
ATS
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
TTL
100% 2-0-1
25% 1-3
100% 2-0-1
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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