Home / NBA Projections NBA / Clippers @ Pacers LAC @ IND

LA

CLIPPERSLAC

37-36  |  Road

114
FINAL
Fri, Mar 27 • 7:00 PM ET
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

INDIANA

PACERSIND

16-57  |  Home

113
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
📊
PACERS
100%
CLIPPERS --
PACERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
243.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
ClippersLAC (-3.5) 0 PacersIND (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Clippers Cover

46.0%

Pacers Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IND +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)

LAC By 1-7 points

26.2%

LAC By 8-14 points

16.9%

IND By 1-7 points

24.3%

IND By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
122
LA
121
INDIANA
Simulated Score
112
LA
115
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Clippers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pacers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pacers (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Pacers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o238.5 Loss
Proj Total: 243.0
D
Sim u238.5 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 27, 2026 LAC @ IND 114 - 113
Mar 4, 2026 IND @ LAC 107 - 130
Feb 23, 2025 LAC @ IND 111 - 129
Feb 6, 2025 IND @ LAC 119 - 112
Mar 25, 2024 IND @ LAC 133 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +55.1% more
LA: 8.0 vs Indiana: 3.6
Steals (L5) +34.2% more
LA: 9.7 vs Indiana: 6.4
Rebounding (L5) +15.6% more
LA: 41.0 vs Indiana: 34.6
Assists (L5) +26.4% more
Indiana: 33.3 vs LA: 26.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAC Score 122.0 114
IND Score 121.0 113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.8 / 42.5 44.0 / 38.0
Assists 33.3 / 26.4 34.0 / 20.0
Blocks 3.6 / 8.0 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 53.1 / 52.7 49.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 82.0 / 82.0 73.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 34.6 / 41.0 45.0 / 46.0
Steals 6.4 / 9.7 6.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 13.8 / 12.3 20.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
80%MONEY20%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
39%MONEY61%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
IND
19-63-0 (23.2%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
IND
40-42-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
LAC
IND
LAC
ML
48% 47-50
60% 59-40
54% 45-38
55% 45-37
ATS
59% 57-40
66% 65-33-1
54% 45-38
55% 45-37
TTL
54% 52-45
59% 58-40-1
100% 83-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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