ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKSARI
0-1 | Road
4
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
1-0 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Kevin Ginkel
#37 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Edwin Diaz
#3 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Ginkel | None-None | 9.00 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Edwin Diaz | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
9.00
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
DIAMONDBACKS
100%
DODGERS
0%
DIAMONDBACKS
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
ARI By 1-2 runs
16.3%
ARI By 3-4 runs
10.6%
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.6%
LAD By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Arizona
2
ARIZONA
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Arizona
3
ARIZONA
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dodgers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Dodgers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 9, 2026
LAD @ ARI
2 - 4
Aug 8, 2026
LAD @ ARI
2 - 1
Aug 7, 2026
LAD @ ARI
3 - 4
Jul 12, 2026
ARI @ LAD
5 - 3
Jul 11, 2026
ARI @ LAD
9 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Arizona
ARI
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.56
Runs / Game
▲
4.94
.246
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.318
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.424
.720
OPS
▲
.762
166
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+73.3% more
Los Angeles: 1.8
vs
Arizona: 1.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+30.6% more
Los Angeles: 9.2
vs
Arizona: 7.1
Home Runs (Season)
+22.9% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Arizona: 166.0
Total Bases (L5)
+20.3% more
Los Angeles: 15.0
vs
Arizona: 12.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARI Score
2.0
4
LAD Score
3.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.5
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.5 / 7.6
4.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.8 / 1.0
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.2 / 7.1
12.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
15.0 / 12.5
11.0 / 15.0
Walks
2.6 / 3.9
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
86-76-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI
Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5%
Total +/-: +0.3
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
ARI
LAD
ARI
ML
56%
92-73
54%
87-74
48%
79-87
54%
86-74
ATS
59%
98-67
57%
91-70
43%
72-94
56%
89-71
TTL
48%
77-82-6
52%
80-73-8
44%
70-90-6
49%
73-77-9
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