NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
48-25 | Road
103
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
38-34 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
HORNETS
0%
KNICKS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
240.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHA -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
NY By 1-7 points
5.8%
NY By 8-14 points
1.4%
CHA By 1-7 points
16.9%
CHA By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
113
NEW YORK
Charlotte
127
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
New York
98
NEW YORK
Charlotte
110
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hornets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hornets (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o224.5
Loss
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Sim
u224.5
Win
Proj Total: 208.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
CHA @ NY
110 - 96
Mar 26, 2026
NY @ CHA
103 - 114
Dec 3, 2025
CHA @ NY
104 - 119
Nov 26, 2025
NY @ CHA
129 - 101
Mar 20, 2025
NY @ CHA
98 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+19.3% more
Charlotte: 4.3
vs
New York: 3.6
Turnovers (L5)
+18.8% more
Charlotte: 16.4
vs
New York: 13.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Charlotte: 43.6%
vs
New York: 39.8%
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.1%
New York: 86.7%
vs
Charlotte: 77.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
113.0
103
CHA Score
127.0
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.6 / 39.8
39.0 / 38.0
Assists
28.1 / 29.0
28.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.3 / 3.6
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
50.1 / 51.1
53.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
77.6 / 86.7
80.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
49.3 / 46.3
43.0 / 24.0
Steals
7.8 / 7.3
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
16.4 / 13.8
18.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
NY
CHA
NY
ML
61%
60-39
61%
114-72
48%
40-44
56%
57-45
ATS
60%
59-40
67%
124-62
48%
40-44
56%
57-45
TTL
58%
57-42
72%
133-53
100%
84-0
100%
102-0
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