SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
19-54 | Road
117
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
38-34 | Home
121
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
MAGIC
0%
KINGS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
SAC By 1-7 points
24.3%
SAC By 8-14 points
13.7%
ORL By 1-7 points
26.2%
ORL By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
113
SACRAMENTO
Orlando
114
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Sacramento
109
SACRAMENTO
Orlando
115
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (+15.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u230.5
Loss
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim
u230.5
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 26, 2026
SAC @ ORL
117 - 121
Feb 19, 2026
ORL @ SAC
131 - 94
Mar 29, 2025
SAC @ ORL
91 - 121
Feb 5, 2025
ORL @ SAC
130 - 111
Mar 23, 2024
SAC @ ORL
109 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+52.9% more
Orlando: 7.2
vs
Sacramento: 4.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+16.2%
Orlando: 86.0%
vs
Sacramento: 69.8%
Blocks (L5)
+47.3% more
Sacramento: 4.1
vs
Orlando: 2.1
Turnovers (L5)
+9.8% more
Sacramento: 13.7
vs
Orlando: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
113.0
117
ORL Score
114.0
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 38.5
48.0 / 42.0
Assists
26.6 / 28.1
22.0 / 30.0
Blocks
2.1 / 4.1
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 46.7
54.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
86.0 / 69.8
88.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
39.0 / 42.4
36.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.2 / 4.7
2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 13.7
12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
SAC
ORL
SAC
ML
61%
65-42
55%
55-45
56%
51-40
61%
50-32
ATS
64%
68-38-1
54%
52-45-3
56%
51-40
61%
50-32
TTL
57%
61-46
58%
57-42-1
100%
91-0
100%
82-0
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