COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
0-0 | Road
1
MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
0-0 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Juan Mejia
#47 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Pete Fairbanks
#29 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Mejia | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 2.0 | 1 |
| Pete Fairbanks | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00
ERA
0.00
--
WHIP
--
2.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
100%
MARLINS
0%
ROCKIES
--
MARLINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Miami)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)
COL By 1-2 runs
16.3%
COL By 3-4 runs
10.6%
MIA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
MIA By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Miami
4
MIAMI
Simulated Score
Colorado
6
COLORADO
Miami
8
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Marlins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Marlins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Marlins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Marlins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
o8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 14.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 2, 2026
MIA @ COL
4 - 14
Jul 1, 2026
MIA @ COL
3 - 6
Jun 30, 2026
MIA @ COL
14 - 3
Jun 29, 2026
MIA @ COL
10 - 7
Mar 29, 2026
COL @ MIA
3 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Miami
MIA
162
Games Played
162
4.64
▲
Runs / Game
4.41
.254
▲
Avg (AVG)
.249
.322
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.326
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.739
▲
OPS
.727
180
▲
Home Runs
168
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+56.1% more
Miami: 10.5
vs
Colorado: 6.7
Walks (L5)
+33.7% more
Miami: 4.9
vs
Colorado: 3.7
Hits (L5)
+18.0% more
Miami: 6.9
vs
Colorado: 5.9
On-Base Pct (Season)
+0.4%
Miami: 32.6%
vs
Colorado: 32.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
3.0
1
MIA Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.4
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.9 / 5.9
8.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
0.3 / 1.0
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
10.5 / 6.7
9.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
10.4 / 10.6
11.0 / 7.0
Walks
4.9 / 3.7
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
MIA
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
MIA
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
COL
MIA
COL
ML
48%
78-84
60%
97-64
55%
88-72
55%
88-73
ATS
56%
91-71
60%
97-64
54%
86-74
52%
83-78
TTL
56%
88-69-5
60%
93-62-6
53%
82-73-5
50%
77-78-6
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