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DALLAS

STARSDAL

43-17-11  |  Road

1
FINAL
Thu, Mar 26 • 7:00 PM ET
UBS Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

40-27-5  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Jake Oettinger
GOALTENDER

Jake Oettinger

#29 | Goaltender
@
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jake Oettinger None-None 2.11 0.920 --
Ilya Sorokin None-None 1.00 0.963 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.11 GAA Ldr 1.00
0.920 Save % Ldr 0.963
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
0%
📊
ISLANDERS
100%
STARS --
ISLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Dallas)
StarsDAL (-3.5) 0 IslandersNYI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stars Cover

84.1%

Islanders Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DAL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

DAL By 1 goal

17.5%

DAL By 2-3 goals

37.2%

NYI By 1 goal

6.6%

NYI By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
DALLAS
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
2
DALLAS
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Stars Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Stars (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Islanders (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 26, 2026 DAL @ NYI 1 - 2
Nov 18, 2025 NYI @ DAL 3 - 2
Feb 23, 2025 DAL @ NYI 4 - 3
Oct 12, 2024 NYI @ DAL 0 - 3
Feb 26, 2024 NYI @ DAL 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +31.0% more
Dallas: 6.0 vs New York: 4.1
Shots on Goal (L5) +25.1% more
Dallas: 29.9 vs New York: 22.4
Blocked Shots (L5) +23.4% more
Dallas: 16.1 vs New York: 12.3
Hits (L5) +14.5% more
New York: 26.2 vs Dallas: 22.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 3.0 1
NYI Score 1.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
56%MONEY44%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
78%MONEY22%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
68%MONEY32%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
DAL
NYI
DAL
ML
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
ATS
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
100% 2-0-1
100% 3-0
100% 2-0-1
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 6 hours, 6 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 12 hours, 6 minutes ago
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
si 1 day, 6 hours ago
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…
si 1 day, 12 hours ago
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List
si 1 day, 12 hours ago