Home / NBA Projections NBA / Bucks @ Trail Blazers MIL @ POR

MILWAUKEE

BUCKSMIL

29-42  |  Road

99
FINAL
Wed, Mar 25 • 10:00 PM ET
Moda Center
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND

TRAIL BLAZERSPOR

36-37  |  Home

130
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
📊
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
BUCKS --
TRAIL BLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
236.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Portland)
BucksMIL (-3.5) 0 Trail BlazersPOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bucks Cover

11.5%

Trail Blazers Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around POR -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)

MIL By 1-7 points

8.0%

MIL By 8-14 points

2.2%

POR By 1-7 points

20.1%

POR By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
112
MILWAUKEE
124
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
108
MILWAUKEE
120
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Trail Blazers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Trail Blazers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Trail Blazers (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Trail Blazers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o225.5 Win
Proj Total: 236.0
D
Sim u225.5 Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 25, 2026 MIL @ POR 99 - 130
Nov 24, 2025 POR @ MIL 115 - 103
Jan 28, 2025 MIL @ POR 112 - 125
Jan 4, 2025 POR @ MIL 105 - 102
Jan 31, 2024 MIL @ POR 116 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +89.5% more
Portland: 5.6 vs Milwaukee: 3.0
Rebounding (L5) +21.0% more
Portland: 46.8 vs Milwaukee: 38.7
Steals (L5) +18.6% more
Portland: 7.8 vs Milwaukee: 6.6
Assists (L5) +15.5% more
Portland: 28.7 vs Milwaukee: 24.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 112.0 99
POR Score 124.0 130
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.1 / 39.5 46.0 / 31.0
Assists 28.7 / 24.8 30.0 / 22.0
Blocks 5.6 / 3.0 11.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.8 / 46.5 53.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 75.8 / 68.7 82.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 46.8 / 38.7 54.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.8 / 6.6 11.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 18.0 / 18.1 21.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
47%MONEY53%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0 (39.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -3.0
POR Advantage
44-44-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -3.0
POR Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4% Total +/-: +1.4
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
MIL
POR
MIL
ML
53% 56-49
64% 61-35
55% 49-40
60% 49-32
ATS
62% 65-39-1
68% 65-31
55% 49-40
60% 49-32
TTL
56% 58-46-1
55% 53-43
100% 89-0
100% 81-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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