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WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

16-55  |  Road

133
FINAL
Wed, Mar 25 • 9:00 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

21-51  |  Home

110
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
📊
JAZZ
0%
WIZARDS --
JAZZ --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Utah)
WizardsWSH (-3.5) 0 JazzUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wizards Cover

11.5%

Jazz Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

WSH By 1-7 points

8.0%

WSH By 8-14 points

2.2%

UTAH By 1-7 points

20.1%

UTAH By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
106
WASHINGTON
118
UTAH
Simulated Score
112
WASHINGTON
118
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jazz Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jazz Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jazz (-3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Jazz (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u239.5 Loss
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Sim u239.5 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 25, 2026 WSH @ UTAH 133 - 110
Mar 5, 2026 UTAH @ WSH 122 - 112
Mar 19, 2025 WSH @ UTAH 112 - 128
Mar 5, 2025 UTAH @ WSH 122 - 125
Mar 4, 2024 WSH @ UTAH 115 - 127
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +24.0% more
Utah: 41.2 vs Washington: 33.3
Steals (L5) +13.8% more
Utah: 9.5 vs Washington: 8.3
Blocks (L5) +12.6% more
Utah: 5.4 vs Washington: 4.8
Assists (L5) +12.3% more
Utah: 27.5 vs Washington: 24.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 106.0 133
UTAH Score 118.0 110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.2 / 39.1 24.0 / 41.0
Assists 27.5 / 24.5 34.0 / 27.0
Blocks 5.4 / 4.8 8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 46.2 / 46.8 47.0 / 55.0
Free Throw % 81.3 / 72.0 52.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 41.2 / 33.3 40.0 / 56.0
Steals 9.5 / 8.3 11.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 15.7 / 16.1 15.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
UTAH Advantage
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
UTAH Advantage
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
WSH
UTAH
WSH
ML
60% 96-63
70% 112-49
48% 40-43
47% 39-44
ATS
68% 108-51
69% 111-49-1
48% 40-43
47% 39-44
TTL
75% 119-39-1
74% 119-41-1
100% 83-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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