AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
76ERS
0%
BULLS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
252.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
CHI By 1-7 points
20.1%
CHI By 8-14 points
9.3%
PHI By 1-7 points
27.4%
PHI By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
124
CHICAGO
Philadelphia
128
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Chicago
107
CHICAGO
Philadelphia
118
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
76ers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
76ers (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o240.5
Win
Proj Total: 252.0
D
Sim
u240.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 25, 2026
CHI @ PHI
137 - 157
Dec 26, 2025
PHI @ CHI
102 - 109
Nov 4, 2025
PHI @ CHI
111 - 113
Apr 13, 2025
CHI @ PHI
122 - 102
Feb 24, 2025
CHI @ PHI
142 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+24.9% more
Philadelphia: 6.0
vs
Chicago: 4.8
Steals (L5)
+9.1% more
Chicago: 9.1
vs
Philadelphia: 8.3
Turnovers (L5)
+8.6% more
Chicago: 16.4
vs
Philadelphia: 15.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.6%
Chicago: 39.0%
vs
Philadelphia: 31.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
124.0
137
PHI Score
128.0
157
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.3 / 39.0
47.0 / 32.0
Assists
27.5 / 28.1
34.0 / 30.0
Blocks
6.0 / 4.8
10.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 48.0
55.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
71.3 / 76.9
75.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
47.3 / 45.0
45.0 / 48.0
Steals
8.3 / 9.1
9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 16.4
8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CHI
PHI
CHI
ML
63%
69-40
56%
54-42
48%
45-48
57%
46-35
ATS
65%
71-38
65%
62-33-1
48%
45-48
57%
46-35
TTL
55%
60-49
58%
56-40
100%
93-0
100%
81-0