Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Astros LAA @ HOU

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Thu, Mar 26 • 4:10 PM ET
Daikin Park
View Odds Details →

HOUSTON

ASTROSHOU

0-0  |  Home

0
Probable Pitchers
Walbert Urena
STARTING PITCHER

Walbert Urena

#57 | Starting Pitcher
@
Bryan King
STARTING PITCHER

Bryan King

#74 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Walbert Urena None-None 0.00 -- 0.2 1
Bryan King None-None 9.00 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
0.00 Ldr ERA 9.00
-- WHIP --
0.2 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
1 K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
100%
📊
ASTROS
0%
ANGELS --
ASTROS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Houston)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 AstrosHOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

40.1%

Astros Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around HOU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)

LAA By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAA By 3-4 runs

10.6%

HOU By 1-2 runs

19.6%

HOU By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
LOS ANGELES
4
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
5
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Astros Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Astros Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Astros (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Astros (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u8.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim o8.0 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 20, 2026 LAA @ HOU 18 - 3
Aug 19, 2026 LAA @ HOU 2 - 3
Aug 18, 2026 LAA @ HOU 3 - 1
Jul 29, 2026 HOU @ LAA 7 - 4
Jul 28, 2026 HOU @ LAA 3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Houston HOU
162 ▲
Games Played
2
4.04 ▲
Runs / Game
3.00
.234 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.169
.310 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.369 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.354
.679 ▲
OPS
.582
154 ▲
Home Runs
4
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +115.0% more
Houston: 2.6 vs Los Angeles: 1.2
Total Bases (L5) +73.6% more
Houston: 17.5 vs Los Angeles: 10.1
Hits (L5) +46.1% more
Houston: 8.4 vs Los Angeles: 5.8
Walks (L5) +13.9% more
Houston: 3.1 vs Los Angeles: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 3.0 3
HOU Score 4.0 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.7 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.4 / 5.8 3.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 2.6 / 1.2 0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 8.7 / 8.7 14.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 17.5 / 10.1 5.0 / 15.0
Walks 3.1 / 2.7 6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
44%MONEY56%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
HOU Advantage
81-83-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
HOU Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
LAA
HOU
LAA
ML
50% 81-82
59% 96-66
47% 77-87
55% 89-73
ATS
56% 91-72
60% 97-65
55% 90-74
51% 82-80
TTL
45% 70-84-9
53% 83-74-5
45% 69-86-9
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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