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BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

39-24-8  |  Road

4
FINAL
Wed, Mar 25 • 7:30 PM ET
KeyBank Center
View Odds Details →

BUFFALO

SABRESBUF

44-20-7  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Nikita Zadorov
GOALTENDER

Nikita Zadorov

#91 | Defense
@
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
GOALTENDER

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Nikita Zadorov None-None -- -- --
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen None-None 3.97 0.871 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 3.97
-- Save % 0.871
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
📊
SABRES
0%
BRUINS --
SABRES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Buffalo)
BruinsBOS (-3.5) 0 SabresBUF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

30.9%

Sabres Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)

BOS By 1 goal

12.1%

BOS By 2-3 goals

9.3%

BUF By 1 goal

19.7%

BUF By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
BOSTON
4
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
2
BOSTON
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Sabres Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sabres Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Sabres (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Sabres (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 1, 2026 BUF @ BOS 4 - 1
Apr 28, 2026 BOS @ BUF 2 - 1
Apr 26, 2026 BUF @ BOS 6 - 1
Apr 23, 2026 BUF @ BOS 3 - 1
Apr 21, 2026 BOS @ BUF 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +24.9%
Buffalo: 26.3% vs Boston: 1.5%
Shots on Goal (L5) +21.1% more
Buffalo: 27.2 vs Boston: 22.5
Takeaways (L5) +14.4% more
Buffalo: 4.5 vs Boston: 3.9
Blocked Shots (L5) +34.6% more
Boston: 18.6 vs Buffalo: 12.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 3.0 4
BUF Score 4.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
36%MONEY64%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
77%MONEY23%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
BOS
BUF
BOS
ML
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
TTL
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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Jiri Kulich's Emotional Game-Winner Lifts Sabres Over Blackhawks…
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abcnews 4 days, 18 hours ago
Wild Aim to Stay Perfect at Home Against Bruins; Newcomers Shine…
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boston 5 days, 19 hours ago