ORLANDO
MAGICORL
38-33 | Road
131
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
44-27 | Home
136
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
CAVALIERS
0%
MAGIC
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
ORL By 1-7 points
8.0%
ORL By 8-14 points
2.2%
CLE By 1-7 points
20.1%
CLE By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
103
ORLANDO
Cleveland
115
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Orlando
106
ORLANDO
Cleveland
112
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers (-10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u230.5
Loss
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Sim
u230.5
Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
ORL @ CLE
131 - 136
Mar 11, 2026
CLE @ ORL
122 - 128
Jan 26, 2026
ORL @ CLE
98 - 114
Jan 24, 2026
CLE @ ORL
119 - 105
Mar 16, 2025
ORL @ CLE
108 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+107.2% more
Cleveland: 4.6
vs
Orlando: 2.2
Rebounding (L5)
+26.4% more
Cleveland: 49.3
vs
Orlando: 39.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Cleveland: 48.2%
vs
Orlando: 46.0%
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.0%
Orlando: 83.0%
vs
Cleveland: 70.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
103.0
131
CLE Score
115.0
136
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 33.4
40.0 / 36.0
Assists
27.1 / 26.3
24.0 / 27.0
Blocks
4.6 / 2.2
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 46.0
60.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
70.0 / 83.0
90.0 / 92.0
Rebounding
49.3 / 39.0
33.0 / 39.0
Steals
6.8 / 7.8
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 13.6
8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
ORL
CLE
ORL
ML
60%
69-46
61%
65-42
56%
55-44
56%
51-40
ATS
67%
75-37-3
64%
68-38-1
56%
55-44
56%
51-40
TTL
59%
68-47
57%
61-46
100%
99-0
100%
91-0
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