Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pelicans @ Knicks NO @ NY

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

25-47  |  Road

116
FINAL
Tue, Mar 24 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

47-25  |  Home

121
AI Model Win Probability
PELICANS
0%
📊
KNICKS
100%
PELICANS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (New Orleans)
PelicansNO (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pelicans Cover

86.4%

Knicks Cover

13.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NO -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)

NO By 1-7 points

21.6%

NO By 8-14 points

27.4%

NY By 1-7 points

9.3%

NY By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
123
NEW ORLEANS
112
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
108
NEW ORLEANS
112
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pelicans Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knicks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pelicans (-8.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Knicks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o229.5 Win
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Sim u229.5 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 24, 2026 NO @ NY 116 - 121
Dec 29, 2025 NY @ NO 130 - 125
Dec 21, 2024 NY @ NO 104 - 93
Dec 1, 2024 NO @ NY 85 - 118
Feb 27, 2024 NO @ NY 115 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +42.7% more
New Orleans: 6.0 vs New York: 3.4
Steals (L5) +15.8% more
New Orleans: 10.0 vs New York: 8.4
Rebounding (L5) +13.6% more
New York: 48.9 vs New Orleans: 43.0
Turnovers (L5) +12.8% more
New York: 15.2 vs New Orleans: 13.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NO Score 123.0 116
NY Score 112.0 121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.3 / 35.6 39.0 / 44.0
Assists 29.1 / 27.1 29.0 / 33.0
Blocks 3.4 / 6.0 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 50.7 / 47.1 52.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 84.6 / 80.5 91.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 48.9 / 43.0 41.0 / 34.0
Steals 8.4 / 10.0 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 15.2 / 13.5 11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NO
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NO
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
NO
NY
NO
ML
61% 114-72
62% 98-61
56% 57-45
58% 48-35
ATS
67% 124-62
68% 107-51-1
56% 57-45
58% 48-35
TTL
72% 133-53
75% 119-40
100% 102-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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