SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
19-53 | Road
90
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
37-34 | Home
134
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
HORNETS
0%
KINGS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHA -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
SAC By 1-7 points
13.7%
SAC By 8-14 points
4.8%
CHA By 1-7 points
25.3%
CHA By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
108
SACRAMENTO
Charlotte
116
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Sacramento
112
SACRAMENTO
Charlotte
125
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hornets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hornets (+17.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u231.5
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Sim
u231.5
Win
Proj Total: 237.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
SAC @ CHA
90 - 134
Mar 11, 2026
CHA @ SAC
117 - 109
Apr 4, 2025
SAC @ CHA
125 - 102
Feb 24, 2025
CHA @ SAC
88 - 130
Jan 10, 2024
SAC @ CHA
123 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+63.6% more
Charlotte: 8.2
vs
Sacramento: 5.0
Turnovers (L5)
+16.9% more
Charlotte: 17.1
vs
Sacramento: 14.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.1%
Charlotte: 78.9%
vs
Sacramento: 72.8%
Blocks (L5)
+13.5% more
Sacramento: 4.6
vs
Charlotte: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
108.0
90
CHA Score
116.0
134
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.8 / 41.7
47.0 / 32.0
Assists
26.2 / 28.6
32.0 / 27.0
Blocks
4.0 / 4.6
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.7 / 49.6
51.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
78.9 / 72.8
75.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
45.4 / 46.1
57.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.2 / 5.0
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
17.1 / 14.6
15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
SAC
CHA
SAC
ML
61%
60-39
55%
55-45
48%
40-44
61%
50-32
ATS
60%
59-40
54%
52-45-3
48%
40-44
61%
50-32
TTL
58%
57-42
58%
57-42-1
100%
84-0
100%
82-0
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